Too Soon to Call: Developments in the Improbability of a Biden Election Victory

Explosive stuff over the last few days on the 2020 election. The Trump campaign is dropping a lot of side suits (which the media is making a big deal about) to pursue the overarching problems of the election: focused and intensive ballot harvesting in Democratic counties, including selective curing of ballots, no thorough cross-county vetting of mail-in ballots (I write about the anomalous rejection rates in Georgia on my blog), and the machines used in the election, Dominion Voting Systems Corp and its vulnerabilities, especially remote vote switching.

See Steve Cortes’ chalk talks on the War Room Pandemic show today. If you understand statistical inference, from Cortes’ presentations alone you can see this election is fraught with statistical improbabilities for Biden that must be investigated. Here’s Cortes’ Twitter feed:

The National Pulse has just dropped a scientific analysis of the reported Pennsylvania vote (https://thenationalpulse.com). What it suggests is a fraud scheme similar to the 2008 sub-prime mortgage meltdown—which Obama avoided investigating (instead handing the states 45 billion dollars of taxpayer money governors used to buy loyalty from powerful constituents). Biden votes in key states he needed to win are obviously too convenient to be trusted.

Biden’s win is not just quantitatively suspicious. Qualitatively they don’t make sense. Sleepy Joe Biden, who hardly campaigned, outperformed rockstar Barrack Obama? Enthusiasm for Trump was through the roof. His rallies were like Obama’s (and Bernie Sander’s rallies, who losses in 2016 and 2020 are suspicious in themselves). The argument that minority opposition to Trump drove turnout is absurd in the face of the massive gains Trump made in the minority vote.

Richard Baris is on Bannon’s afternoon show today (5 pm Central Time on America’s Voice, the War Room: Pandemic web page). Check him out. He’s director of the Big Data Poll and data journalism editor at People’s Pundit Daily. Crackerjack statistician.

If this were happening in a Third World country we would be talking about a stolen election. I know progressives are happy about Biden’s apparent win, but they cannot continue to talk about election integrity if they are telling us that there is nothing to see here.

Oh, how is the recount going in Georgia? “Georgia recount unearths more than 2,600 uncounted ballots in Floyd County: Report.”

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Andrew Austin

Andrew Austin is on the faculty of Democracy and Justice Studies and Sociology at the University of Wisconsin—Green Bay. He has published numerous articles, essays, and reviews in books, encyclopedia, journals, and newspapers.

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