H5N1 is on the Prowl

Hi. I’m back to make sure you don’t get caught up in the pandemic hysteria again.

Have you heard? Globally, from January 2003 to March 2024, 888 cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) virus were reported from twenty-three countries. Of those 888 cases, 463 were fatal. That is a case fatality rate, or CFR, of 52 percent.

Influenza A subtype H5N1

Scary sounding, I know. But, first, note the time frame. Worldwide, out of billions of people, only 463 individuals died from H5N1 in a span of more than two decades. That is a very, very small number.

Second, and this is going to sound a lot like my debunking of the COVID19 hysteria, but note that the figure given is the CFR not the infection fatality rate (IFR). If H5N1 is more widespread than the World Health Organization (WHO) would like you to believe, then it is less lethal than they tell you it is.

The WHO only reports cases that include individuals with symptoms severe enough to necessitate hospitalization and laboratory testing. In fact, to appear in the WHO statistics, a person must have an acute illness and fever within a week and test positive for exposure to the H5 protein that gives the virus part of its name.

To say that reporting on a handful of individuals already at higher risk of death is misleading is an understatement. It is propaganda in the service of a political goal (look into the global pandemic treaty).

There could be—and almost certainly this is true—a significantly greater number of individuals who have contracted the virus but remain asymptomatic or experience mild symptoms insufficient to prompt medical attention, which in turn leads to an underestimation of the virus’ prevalence and an exaggerated perception of its lethality.

Suppose the number of infections is just one hundred times the number indicated by the CFR, but the same number of deaths. Based on the numbers given at the outset, that would be 88,800 infections, which is not a very large number given the vastness of the planet’s population. The IFR would be 0.000052027, or 0.0052% percent, roughly one death in almost 20,000 infections. Based on patterns already in evidence, these would overwhelmingly be people of advanced age or with comorbidities, such as cardiovascular disease, chronic respiratory diseases, diabetes, hypertension, and obesity.

We’ve seen this playbook before.

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Freedom and Reason is a platform chronicling with commentary man’s walk down a path through late capitalism.

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